Surveying Disaster

October 9, 2008 by apartmentdata

We started calling the Houston area on Thursday September 4. At that time Hurricane Ike was a Category 4 in the Western Atlantic with winds of 145 mph. By Tuesday September 9 Ike had entered the Gulf of Mexico with winds of 85 mph. On September 10 President George W. Bush made an emergency declaration. As Ike neared land-fall we were finding some complexes had phone messages saying they were evacuating, whilst other complexes were happy to answer our survey questions. But one could sense the mounting fear in some people’s voices and, of course, some were a little too occupied, not in a tenant sense, to answer our questions and asked us, with that disarming Texan politeness, if we would mind calling back the following week. By Friday the 11th., Ike had increased its wind field and strengthened to a Category 2 with 100 mph wind and we calculated that our survey team had successfully surveyed over 60% of the 1,140 complexes we call each quarter in the Houston area. Our team had found some areas had had no telephone service or that the answering machine was on. At that point we decided to stop surveying as Texans began preparing to receive Ike’s wrath. For the next few days we all followed the news reports with horror and sympathy as Ike tore through the Houston area, where on Saturday the 12th the winds reached 110 mph.

As we need to complete a survey in the quarter month and had fallen behind in having been able to complete an acceptable number of surveys in Houston, we discussed when, or if, we should resume our calling. We did not do so until September 22 so as to allow people time to recover their properties and themselves as best they could. When we did resume our surveying we decided to take the opportunity to ask what damage each complex had suffered from Ike.

I have been going over the responses that I had from the 150 complexes that I surveyed and what strikes me now as I recall those conversations is the sense of relief and humility that I had in listening to people who had been through a catastrophe. I am reminded of the grace with which people answered my question and the sense of relief and a somewhat puzzled aura of having received a blessing, if the damage had been minor or, as in some cases, non- existent.  At RealFacts we gather and analyze data. In trying to analyze the responses to see a pattern, what stands out is that there was no discernible pattern. One complex had had damage to every one of its twenty two buildings, whilst another, only a short distance away, had had “Oh only a few fences blown down, and they were old.”

As people responded to my question at some locations I could hear construction crews sawing and hammering and other people answering tenants’, or adjusters’ or colleagues’ questions and inquiries. One thing that did stand out was that in many cases where there appeared to be little damage, a few days later a lot of water damage was discovered as the very high winds had found any nook or cranny and blown water in, like a supercharger, which had taken a while to percolate down, resulting in collapsed ceilings and a lot of sheetrock damage.

I thought to quote directly from a few of the responses, taken on September 24 thru 29 :-

“One of the 4 buildings very badly damaged, 65 units (out of 556) uninhabitable, should be rentable by the end of November.”

“26 units un-rentable, hopefully back within 3 months.”

“Cannot move new tenants in as Centerpoint (the electricity company) don’t have spare crews to turn on individual meters.”

“2 units so badly damaged we had to permanently re-house the tenants within the complex. Other than that some roof and siding damage. It could have been a lot worse.”

“6 buildings badly damaged no time frame for fixing them as we are still waiting for the adjusters report. They do not know how many units were affected.”

“No units damaged, just a lot of mess.”

“Ike came from the south, but the rain damage was from the north, west and east. The shingles were damaged but we were going to replace them anyway.”

“Minor damage, some roof damage and some units still without power.”

“6 units un-rentable, waiting on insurance co. to give go ahead for repairs.”

“All front apartments damaged, ceilings caved in, tenants were re-housed within the complex. Estimated 4-5 months to repair and rehab.”

“Some water damage, still waiting for sheetrock, seems we be last on the list.”

“Yes damaged, didn’t have to move any one around, we’ll fix ‘em but some people did move out of the area after Ike.”

“First complex in Houston to regain power.”

“300 out of 419 units damaged, 40 very badly, no estimate of when they will be back on stream.”

“No damage, we didn’t even loose power.”

“Substantial damage/ceilings fell in/were able to move tenants to other units. We were hit bad.”

“Replacing 20 of the 22 roofs. No damage to units. No one had to move. It has always been a well maintained complex.”

“33% of the units damaged, most fixed now will take some time to rehab 4 units.”

“Major damage. At first look just a couple of feet of water damage on lower floors. Then realized a lot of sheetrock has had bad water damage. Adjusters still working 12 hr. days to assess damage. Not known how many units will have to be taken out of rental supply to rehab.”

“No hot water because of Ike.”

“When Ike hit we had 16 units available to rent,after only 2! 9 were very badly damaged. 56 out of commission. Metro National is a very good owner so does repairs as they are needed. Est. 2 weeks to have all back on stream, no window damage.”

“Minor leaks, all fixed/didn’t loose power as power lines are underground.”

”Miraculously absolutely no damage. When you have a company who cares for their property, when things are fixed as soon as they need it, there is nothing loose to blow away”

“Lots of debris, fences down, two trees were blown against the property, but just ended up leaning on the gutters with no damage to the units. It was a miracle.”

“No building damage, lots of debris and the pools are out as they are full of debris and pollution. Still waiting for the chemicals to fix it.”

“Adjustor said ‘Oh nothing, you were lucky’.”

I can not imagine how awful it must have been to have gone through the brunt of Ike, but in speaking to the people who had, I believe that I did get a sense of how many of the people’s faith had  helped them through it and how it was strengthened by the experience.

Gerald Patrick Cox

On the Streets Where You Live

September 30, 2008 by apartmentdata

Our crew of surveryors can be overcome from the boredom of repetitive dialing and asking the same questions over and over. So they entertain themselves any way they can, this time it was finding amusement in the names of the streets where the complexes were located. Thanks to Michelle for bringing these nuggets to our attention.

How would you like to live on Hobbie Horse Lane? Or would Lolly Lane be better?

You might hesistate to live on Slaughter Lane or Convict Hill Road. If you are troubled by Chemical Lane, try moving over to Safety Street.

If you want to be in a good mood all day, move to Jollyville Road. You could also live on Simplicity Street. In the best of all worlds, you would live on  Wonder World Drive.

How would you like to tell a person cashing your check that you live on Minawawa Avenue?

Hurrican IKE

September 24, 2008 by apartmentdata

There are only a few days left to finish the 3Q survey, and everything is done except Texas. Last week when we tried to call the Houston Metro Area, we were unable to contact 1000+ complexes in our database. So we started again this week and we have been able to get through some of the complexes. We are hearing interesting stories about how communities have been coping with lack of electricity. One building told us they were cooking breakfast for their residents on their outdoor barbeques and several ingenious managers are making “cowboy coffee” for all comers. It has sometimes taken 35 to 40 phone calls to get through, but little by little we are completing the majority of surveys in the Houston area.

The big exception of course are the coastal communities that bore the brunt of the hurricane. In Port Arthur and Beaumont there were a few cases where we could get throught the managers were coping with emergencies like downed trees, flooded ground floors, and heating and cooling systems malfunctioning. The worst problems are in Galveston where we have been unable to reach a single apartment. I have friends that have vacation home on the Brazos River and they tell me that the roads in that area are still impassable. So it remains to be seen whether any of those Galveston apartments will ever be occupied again.  What a shame! The fun shops and interesting restaurants of Galveston made it a great destination for Sunday brunch and some time on the beach. Hope we can do it again soon.

Monday Morning News

September 15, 2008 by apartmentdata

This morning 12 telephone surveyors reported to work– collecting current rents and occupancies. Problems began immediately as they attempted to call Houston. The Houston MSA is the largest in our database, containing approximately 1100 complexes. It’s truly Texas-sized.  As of this morning most of those complexes are without electricity because of hurricane Ike and many are without phone service. We have already completed our survey of Austin and San Antonio, but it looks like we will have to wait until next week to get Houston. It remains to be seen in the hard hit areas like Galveston and Port Arthur that there will be any buildings left to survey.

On the bright side Lehman Brothers is not one of our clients.